This transaction makes about 5% of my portfolio.
Here are the reasons for the purchase
Here are the reasons for the purchase
- One of the best managements in the banking industry.
- Banking normally is a very good business with high returns on equity and high free cash flow payout rates(generally >50%)
- Its also one of the riskiest businesses because of leverage involved and hence its very important that you bet on the right jockey.
- Wells Fargo is trading at a reasonable 12x free cash flow and 1.2x book value.
- Historically the bank has commanded a premium price compared to other banks. Historically it trades at around 15x earnings and 2.7x book value.
- Historically WFC has had Return on Equity around 19% while currently the return on equity is at 10%. This is because of two reasons .....1) Wells Fargo(like other banks) have solidified their balance sheet in past few years raising equity by withholding dividends and issuing stocks 2) The loan volume is quite anemic because of depressed US economy......and hence their earnings are depressed. I expect that someday the housing crisis will end and home loan issuance will return to the new normal level ( lower than the historical normal)
- The loans Wells is underwriting at present are much more profitable and low risk
- As interest rates go up Wells will be able to earn more on the excess cash on balance sheet(the one its not able/willing to lend currently)